Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Liga Profesional (Argentina): Teams relegated (2026)

Name: Liga Profesional (Argentina): Teams relegated (2026)
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.37K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Liga Profesional (Argentina): Teams relegated (2026)

Vol

$6.37K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.37K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.37K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will Aldosivi be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Aldosivi be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	97%
Will Estudiantes (RC) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	86%
Will Racing be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	20%
Will Independiente be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	19%
Will Lanús be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	13%
Will Tigre be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	13%
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima (LP) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	13%
Will Deportivo Riestra be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	12%
Will Banfield be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	12%
Will San Lorenzo be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	12%
Will Newell's Old Boys be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	12%
Will Belgrano be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	10%
Will Platense be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	10%
Will Central Córdoba (SdE) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	5%
Will Atlético Tucumán be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	3%
Will River Plate be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	3%
Will Boca Juniors be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	3%
Will Vélez Sarsfield be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	3%
Will Defensa y Justicia be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	3%
Will Estudiantes (LP) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	3%
Will Rosario Central be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	3%
Will Instituto be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	3%
Will Unión be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	2%
Will Argentinos Juniors be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	2%
Will Talleres (C) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	2%
Will Huracán be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	2%
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima (M) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	2%
Will Independiente Rivadavia be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	2%
Will Sarmiento (J) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	2%
Will Barracas Central be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$6.37K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Liga Profesional (Argentina) at the conclusion of the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Liga Profesiona

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Liga Profesional (Argentina): Teams relegated (2026)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Liga Profesional (Argentina) at the conclusion of the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Liga Profesiona

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Liga Profesional (Argentina) at the conclusion of the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Liga Profesional (Argentin"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aldosivi be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Argentinos Juniors be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $140
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Atlético Tucumán be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $68
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Banfield be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 11.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Barracas Central be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $170
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Belgrano be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Boca Juniors be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $91
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Central Córdoba (SdE) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $42
  DATA: [Yes: 5.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Defensa y Justicia be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Deportivo Riestra be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Estudiantes (LP) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $506
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Estudiantes (RC) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $278
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Gimnasia y Esgrima (LP) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.3% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Gimnasia y Esgrima (M) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $149
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Huracán be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $81
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Independiente be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.3% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Independiente Rivadavia be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $437
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Instituto be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $971
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Lanús be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.7% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Newell's Old Boys be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Platense be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 10.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.8% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Racing be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 20.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.9% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will River Plate be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $738
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Rosario Central be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $482
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will San Lorenzo be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 11.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.4% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Sarmiento (J) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $119
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Talleres (C) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $284
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Tigre be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.7% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Unión be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $257
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Vélez Sarsfield be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $172
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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