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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

Name: What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?
End: 2026-06-01T04:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$12.23

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

Vol

$12.23

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $12.23

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.23

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?	Poly	82%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?	Poly	67%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?	Poly	52%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by May 31?	Poly	27%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?	Poly	27%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?	Poly	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

82%

Top Probability

$12.23

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12
* **Total Liquidity:** $829
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCrypto

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

Volume$12.23

Markets6

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POLYMARKET

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the t

POLYMARKET

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 67.0¢No 33.0¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?

POLYMARKET

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?

POLYMARKET

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by May 31?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 27.0¢No 73.0¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by May 31?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 on the date specified in the title has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title.

POLYMARKET

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 on the date specified in the title has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title.

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47¢

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What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

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Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

Markets (6)

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?

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Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by May 31?

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