Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club

Name: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club
End: 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$967.27K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club

Vol

$967.27K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $967.27K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $967.27K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	Poly	40%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Poly	32%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Poly	31%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$967.27K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Athletic Club.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 10, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Athletic Club.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 10, 2026
If Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no m"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $967.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $19.6K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 49.47)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $200.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $25.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $741.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Athletic Club.

Volume$967.27K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 10, 2026 If Athletic Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game

POLYMARKET

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 10, 2026 If Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no m

POLYMARKET

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 31.0¢No 69.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up

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Discussion

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/j2_PPO" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club"></iframe>

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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club

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Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club

Markets (3)

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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