Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Central Bank of Chile decision in October

Name: Central Bank of Chile decision in October
End: 2026-10-27T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.03K

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Central Bank of Chile decision in October

Vol

$7.03K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $7.03K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.03K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?	Poly	90%
Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Poly	5%
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Poly	5%
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	Poly	3%
Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$7.03K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Chile (Banco Central de Chile), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Chile, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 27, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Chile calendar (https://www.bcentral

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Central Bank of Chile decision in October
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 27, 2026 (15 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Chile (Banco Central de Chile), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Chile, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 27, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Chile calendar (https://www.bcentral

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Chile (Banco Central de Chile), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source will be official information from the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.46)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $374
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $852
  DATA: [Yes: 4.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $5.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $167
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 27, 2026): Vol $246
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy