Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

Name: Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
End: 2027-01-01T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$652.42

Events

Markets

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Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $652.42

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $652.42

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?	Poly	46%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

46%

Top Probability

$652.42

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (305 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered.

For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this mark"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $652
* **Total Liquidity:** $192
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.39)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $652
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

304d 15h remaining

Jan 01, 2027 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

46¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/j6U6R3" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?"></iframe>

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Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

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Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)