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Events
GroupKALSHI

Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?

Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40?
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AI Analysis

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Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If the difference between the number of Yes votes for California Proposition 42 and the number of Yes votes for California Proposition 40 is above 0 as measured in the November 3, 2026 California general election, then the market resolves to Yes. The number of Yes votes for each proposition is the statewide total of Yes votes reported for that proposition in the Statement of Vote certified by the California Secretary of State. If the two totals are exactly equal, the market resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the California Secretary of State certifies the Statement of Vote.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

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