This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Name: UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
End: 2026-05-03T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$20.85K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Vol

$20.85K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $20.85K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $20.85K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	68%
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Poly	66%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	61%
Will Junior Tafa win by KO or TKO?	Poly	54%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	40%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	28%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	25%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	19%
Will Kevin Christian win by KO or TKO?	Poly	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

68%

Top Probability

$20.85K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Junior Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kevin Christian at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Kevin Christian" if Kevin Christian is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Junior Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kevin Christian at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026.

It will resolve to "Kevin Christian" if Kevin Christian is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Kevin Christian at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." 

Dra"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $20.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $53.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.39)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Junior Tafa win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kevin Christian win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $8.8K
  DATA: [Junior Tafa: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [Kevin Christian: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $12.0K
  DATA: [Over: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 72.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Volume$20.85K

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 60.5¢No 39.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Kevin Christian at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends

POLYMARKET

Will Junior Tafa win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Junior Tafa win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Junior Tafa defeats Kevin Christian at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by di

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by submission?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Kevin Christian at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, i

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Junior Tafa and Kevin Christian at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Dra

POLYMARKET

Will Kevin Christian win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Kevin Christian win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Christian defeats Junior Tafa at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by di

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

41¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/jAuYTB" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Markets (9)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Junior Tafa win by KO or TKO?

Will Junior Tafa win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will Kevin Christian win by KO or TKO?

Will Kevin Christian win by KO or TKO?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will Junior Tafa win by KO or TKO?

Will Junior Tafa win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will Kevin Christian win by KO or TKO?

Will Kevin Christian win by KO or TKO?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget