Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?

Reported volume

K 239.37 contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?

Vol

K 239.37 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

As of Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is At least 185 at 97.5%.

Kalshi

At least 18597.5%
At least 19097%
At least 19596.5%
At least 20096%
At least 20595.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

18 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Democrats hold at least 185 House seats after the 2028 election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Democrats hold at least 185 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	97.5%
Will Democrats hold at least 190 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	97.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 195 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	96.5%
Will Democrats hold at least 200 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	96.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 205 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	95.5%
Will Democrats hold at least 210 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	89.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 215 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	82.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 218 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	76.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 220 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	69.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 225 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	62.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 230 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	55.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 235 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will Democrats hold at least 240 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	39.5%
Will Democrats hold at least 245 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	29.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 250 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	19.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 255 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	10.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 260 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	4.5%
Will Democrats hold at least 265 House seats after the 2028 election?	Kalshi	3.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 239.37 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

When the new House convenes in Jan 2029 If the Democratic Party holds at least X seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 239.37 contracts
Coverage: 18 of 18 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 265 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-265; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 265 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 260 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-260; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 260 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 255 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-255; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 255 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 250 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-250; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 19.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 250 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 245 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-245; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 29.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 71.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 245 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 240 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-240; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 12.91 contracts
Outcome Yes: 39.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 60.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 240 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 235 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-235; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 226.46 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 235 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 230 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-230; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 230 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 225 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-225; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 62.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 38.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 225 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 220 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-220; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 69.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 31.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 220 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 218 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-218; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 76.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 24.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 218 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 215 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-215; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 82.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 18.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 215 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 210 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-210; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 89.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 11.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 210 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 205 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-205; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 205 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 200 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-200; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 96.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 4.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 200 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 195 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-195; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 195 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 190 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-190; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 190 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Contract: Will Democrats hold at least 185 House seats after the 2028 election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXHOUSESEATSD-29-185; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhouseseatsd-29
Observed: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Feb 1, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 185 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the House counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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KALSHIElections

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?

Volume$239.37

Markets18

18 of 18

Sort:

Will Democrats hold at least 185 House seats after the 2028 election?

kalshi

Will Democrats hold at least 185 House seats after the 2028 election?

Yes: 97.5¢
No: 2.5¢

Will Democrats hold at least 190 House seats after the 2028 election?

kalshi

Will Democrats hold at least 190 House seats after the 2028 election?

Yes: 97.0¢
No: 3.0¢

Will Democrats hold at least 195 House seats after the 2028 election?

kalshi

Will Democrats hold at least 195 House seats after the 2028 election?

Yes: 96.5¢
No: 3.5¢

Will Democrats hold at least 200 House seats after the 2028 election?

kalshi

Will Democrats hold at least 200 House seats after the 2028 election?

Yes: 96.0¢
No: 4.0¢

Will Democrats hold at least 205 House seats after the 2028 election?

kalshi

Will Democrats hold at least 205 House seats after the 2028 election?

Yes: 95.5¢
No: 4.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democrats hold 215 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 48 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Related contracts

PM Yes 64%Rules differK Yes 92.5%

Blue wave in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democrats hold 215 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 48 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 92.5%

Blue wave in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the number of Iowa races won by the Democratic Party among IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the U.S. Senate seat, and the Governorship during the November 3, 2026 general election be exactly 5?

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.5%Rules differK Yes 40%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?

K 947.38 contracts

Will the number of Nevada Assembly seats held by Democrats be at least 28 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 70%

Will the number of Colorado Senate seats held by Democrats be at least 24 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 70%

Will the number of New Mexico House of Representatives seats held by Democrats be at least 47 after the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 64%

+21 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?

K 0 contracts

Will Republicans hold at least 42 Senate seats after the 2028 election?Yes 96.5%

Will Republicans hold at least 44 Senate seats after the 2028 election?Yes 94.5%

Will Republicans hold at least 46 Senate seats after the 2028 election?Yes 93%

+12 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC

KalshiPolitics

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

K 33.3K contracts

Will the Democratic party hold more than 211 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 98.5%

Will the Democratic party hold more than 214 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 96.5%

Will the Democratic party hold more than 217 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 91%

+13 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

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Feb 01, 2029, 3:00 PM UTC

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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?

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