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FL-15 House Election Winner

FL-15 House Election Winner
Vol

PM $39.3K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Laurel Lee (R) at 95%.

Polymarket

  1. Laurel Lee (R)95%
  2. Robert People (D)4.6%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $39.3K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics
FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $42.6K · K 21.5K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for FL-23?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 95.3%Rules differK Yes 95.5%

Will the Republican Party win the FL-23 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-23?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 4.3%Rules differK Yes 4.1%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-23?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 4.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-24 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-24 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $25.4K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 33.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $22.8K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 23.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-13 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $22.0K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 18.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $21.7K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 19%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 18.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $21.0K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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