GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

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$0.00

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Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	99%
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	1%
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	1%
Will Catherine West be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	1%
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Lucy Powell be the next of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Robert Jenrick be the next United Kingdom of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%
Will Andrew Tate be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?	Kalshi	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

Before 2030 If X is the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2030, then the market resolves Y This market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2030

If X is the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2030, then the market resolves Y This market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Catherine West is the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules:   Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Catherine West be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lucy Powell be the next  of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Robert Jenrick be the next United Kingdom of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Andrew Tate be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Before 2030 If X is the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2030, then the market resolves Y This market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office.

Volume$0.00

Markets21

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KALSHI

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.7¢No 1.3¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

If Andy Burnham is the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office.

KALSHI

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.9¢No 99.2¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

If Rupert Lowe is the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office.

KALSHI

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

If Al Carns is the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office.

KALSHI

Will Catherine West be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Catherine West be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

If Catherine West is the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office.

KALSHI

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.4¢No 99.6¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

If Shabana Mahmood is the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/jK8D6b" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?"></iframe>

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Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

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Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Markets (21)

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Catherine West be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Catherine West be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Catherine West be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Catherine West be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom?

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