Bitcoin price on November 16?
PM $23.1K
1
11
PM $23.1K
1
11
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 15, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is <66,000 at 67.2%.
Polymarket
- <66,00067.2%
- 66,000-68,00021.3%
- 68,000-70,0006.1%
- 70,000-72,0002.3%
- 72,000-74,0001.7%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $23.1K
Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Snapshot observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a Polymarket event asking about the Bitcoin price on November 16 [1]. The event contains 11 separate price-range markets. Each market asks whether the price falls within a stated range at a specific time. Some are worded as "between" two values, while others use "less than" or "greater than" wording, so the ranges are not all phrased the same way.
The resolution rule is specific. The market resolves using the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 ET (noon) on the date in the title. The rule states that prices on other exchanges or trading pairs do not count [1]. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket [1]. The listed end time is Nov 16, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC [1]. That timestamp is the listed close time, not a record that the outcome has been determined.
Reading the snapshot
The data was observed at Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC and retrieved at Nov 14, 2026, 12:22 PM UTC. These are the times of this snapshot only. The prices describe that moment and should not be read as live or current.
The highest Yes price is for the range between $66,000 and $68,000, at 0.3875 [1]. The next highest is the range between $68,000 and $70,000, at 0.282. The "less than $66,000" market is at 0.2535. Most other ranges show Yes prices below 0.08. These prices are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
This sample includes all 11 saved markets for the event, and the sample is not marked as partial [1]. That describes the saved provider event only. It does not establish that every possible price outcome is listed. The reported volume is $12,310 in US dollars, as reported by Polymarket for this event. Volume reflects trading activity, not liquidity or the number of traders. Only one platform is present, so no cross-platform comparison is made.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot does not explain why prices are at these levels. It also does not show whether the Binance close will fall in any particular range, because the contract's outcome depends on a price that had not been recorded when this data was saved. Prices may change before the listed close time. Readers should check the current contract rules and live market data before drawing any conclusion.
References
- Polymarket: Bitcoin price on November 16?. Provider data observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC.
Snapshot observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The provider event asks about the Bitcoin price on November 16, and the contract rules state that it "will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title" [1]. The rules also say that "If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket" [1]. The listed end time is Nov 16, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC [1]. Because the rules specify noon ET, that time is the listed close, not a separate announced event.
The source is specific to Binance BTC/USDT. The rules state that the market "is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. A reader comparing this event with a price series from another exchange or trading pair would be comparing different measurements.
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC and retrieved at Nov 14, 2026, 12:22 PM UTC [1]. These are the only time references for the prices below. They describe that snapshot and should not be read as live quotes.
All 11 saved markets for this event are included, and the sample is not partial [1]. The eleven Yes prices range from 0.3875 for "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on November 16?" to 0.0015 for the $78,000 to $80,000 and $80,000 to $82,000 brackets. The highest Yes price is in the $66,000 to $68,000 bracket, followed by the $68,000 to $70,000 bracket at 0.282 and the "less than $66,000" contract at 0.2535.
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The Yes prices across the eleven brackets sum to roughly 1.044 in this snapshot, so they should not be read as a complete probability distribution. The reported volume of $12,310 is Polymarket's total for this event in US dollars [1]. It does not measure liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The source notes that "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The 11 brackets form a continuous set in this saved event, but no other platform's contracts are included here, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
The snapshot does not explain why any price is where it is. It also does not show the Binance price after the observation time or the resolution value. Readers should check the Binance 1 minute close at noon ET on November 16 to see how the contract resolves.
References
- Polymarket: Bitcoin price on November 16?. Provider data observed Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 14, 2026 UTCOverview
PredictPedia covers a Polymarket event titled "Bitcoin price on November 16?", which groups several price-range contracts tied to the price of bitcoin on that date [1]. The event rules say the market resolves according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date in the title, and that the market resolves to "No" otherwise [1]. The rules name Binance specifically, and state that the price concerned is the Binance BTC/USDT price rather than prices on other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. Each bracket contract asks whether the reported value will fall within a stated range. The rules say that if the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher range bracket [1]. The saved event lists a contract end time of 2026-11-16T17:00:00Z [1]. This is the closing time written in the contract rules. It is not a report that the price has been reached or that any event has taken place. The prices in this snapshot were observed at one point in time, so they describe how the contracts were priced then. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities that bitcoin will land in a given range. The Polymarket event reports a total volume of $12,310 in US dollars [1]. That figure is the provider's total for its own event. It does not indicate liquidity, and it does not indicate how many people traded.
Historical Context
Bitcoin is described on Wikipedia as the first decentralized cryptocurrency. The white paper that introduced it was published in 2008 under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto, and its use as a currency began in 2009 with the release of its open-source implementation [3]. Wikipedia's history article describes it as originally designed as a medium of exchange and now primarily regarded as a store of value, and notes that from the mid-2010s some businesses began accepting it alongside traditional currencies [2]. Wikipedia also reports that El Salvador adopted bitcoin as legal tender from 2021 to 2025 before revoking that status [3]. These are historical background points. Retrieving these encyclopedia pages does not verify any current event, including the present bitcoin price or current regulation.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single observation: the Binance BTC/USDT one minute candle close at noon ET on the date named in the title [1]. Because the rules tie the outcome to one exchange and one pair, the result depends on that specific reading rather than on an average across markets or on other venues [1]. Bracket contracts let traders express views on which range the reported price will fall into, and the boundary rule determines which bracket wins when the price lands exactly on a shared edge [1]. Understanding the resolution source is therefore central to reading any price shown for these contracts.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-14 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which price determines whether these contracts resolve?
The rules use the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 ET on the date in the title, not prices from other exchanges or trading pairs [1].
What happens if the price lands exactly on the boundary between two ranges?
The rules state that the market resolves to the higher range bracket in that case [1].
What does the volume figure show?
The Polymarket event reports $12,310 in US dollars as the provider's own total for that event [1]. The provider's note says volumes from different providers should not be added or compared, and the volume figure should not be read as liquidity or a count of traders [1].
Are the listed prices the same as the probability of each outcome?
No. The prices are snapshots from a single observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.