What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?
PM $3.27M
1
16
PM $3.27M
1
16
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 15, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is ↓ 62,000 at 17.1%.
Polymarket
- ↓ 62,00017.1%
- ↑ 68,0007.3%
- ↓ 60,0007%
- ↓ 58,0003.4%
- ↑ 70,0001.8%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $3.27M
Reported volume · provider units
16
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
This analysis was written from an earlier market snapshot, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event asks whether Bitcoin will trade at specific price levels during the window shown in its title, "What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?" [1]. The event contains several binary markets, each tied to one price level. Their wording differs. Some ask whether Bitcoin will "dip to" a level, while others ask whether it will "reach" one [1]. Those verbs describe different price paths, so the markets should be read separately rather than treated as one measure.
Each market has a Yes and a No outcome. The listed end time for every market in the included sample is Nov 16, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC [1]. That is a closing time listed by the provider, not evidence of how any market resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, and the source was retrieved at Nov 14, 2026, 8:37 AM UTC [1]. These are two different moments. Prices shown here describe the observed snapshot only and may differ from prices at the time you read this.
Among the included markets, the Yes price for "Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?" was 0.5295, while the Yes price for "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 November 9-15?" was 0.145 [1]. Lower strike levels for the "dip to" wording carry higher Yes prices in this snapshot, and higher "reach" levels carry lower prices. These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. The provider event has 15 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets were selected by highest finite Yes price, then by volume. Three markets are not shown, so this sample does not describe the full field, and you should not infer that omitted markets had lower prices.
The reported volume of $1,929,520 is Polymarket's total for this event, in US dollars [1]. Volume does not measure liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it does not show recent news or how many traders hold each view. It also does not establish how these markets will resolve, since only listed end times are provided. Because only one provider's event is supplied, these prices should not be compared with other platforms' contracts or treated as an arbitrage signal. Differences in wording, strike levels, and close times can make contracts look comparable when they are not.
References
- Polymarket: What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?. Provider data observed Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC.
Snapshot observed Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event is titled "What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?" and is listed on Polymarket [1]. The supplied evidence includes 12 separate contracts from this event, each asking whether Bitcoin will reach or dip to a specific price level. Their titles use two verbs: "dip to" (for levels such as $66,000, $64,000, and $60,000) and "reach" (for levels such as $70,000, $72,000, and $88,000). The supplied evidence does not include full resolution rules, so this summary does not explain how the two verbs are settled. Readers should check the provider's rules for each contract before comparing them.
The listed end time for every included contract is Nov 16, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC [1]. This is the provider's listed close time, not an actual resolution. The supplied evidence does not show a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, and the source was retrieved at Nov 14, 2026, 8:37 AM UTC [1]. These prices describe that earlier observation and should not be read as live quotes.
Among the included contracts, the Yes price for "Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?" was 0.5295, and the Yes price for "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15?" was 0.1605 [1]. Higher-strike "reach" contracts were priced lower, such as "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 November 9-15?" at 0.145 and "Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 9-15?" at 0.0015 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. Polymarket reports 15 markets for this event, and 12 are included [1]. The three omitted markets have no price information in this evidence, so the included set should not be treated as the full field, and nothing can be inferred about the omitted contracts.
Polymarket reports a total event volume of $1,929,520 in US dollars [1]. This figure describes trading activity for the event. It does not show liquidity, depth, or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not explain why prices were at these levels at the observation time. It also does not show any news, the number of traders holding each view, or how these contracts have performed historically. Because the contracts use different wording and price levels, differences between them should not be treated as arbitrage opportunities.
References
- Polymarket: What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?. Provider data observed Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 14, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Polymarket event titled "What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15?" [1]. The provider lists its end time as 2026-11-16T05:00:00.000Z, and the event was active when the provider data was observed on 2026-11-14T06:00:05.987Z [1]. The event groups several related markets, each asking whether Bitcoin will reach or dip to a specific price level, such as $66,000 or $70,000, during the stated window [1]. Each market has a Yes outcome and a No outcome, and each outcome carries a price in the saved snapshot. For example, the market asking whether Bitcoin will dip to $66,000 showed a Yes price of 0.5295 and a No price of 0.4705 at observation [1]. A price in this snapshot is a recorded value at one moment. It is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability of the outcome. The provider's listed end time is the scheduled close of the contract, not a record of how any market actually resolved. The underlying asset is Bitcoin, which Wikipedia describes as a cryptocurrency, a digital asset that uses cryptography to control its creation and management rather than relying on central authorities [2][3]. Each threshold market therefore tracks a price question about that asset within the contract's window, and the contract rules determine which price measure and timing apply to resolution. The supplied sources do not describe those specific resolution rules in detail, so readers should consult the provider's own contract terms for that information. The saved event includes 15 total markets, of which 12 are included in this sample [1]. The included markets are the ones with the highest valid Yes prices in the saved snapshot, ordered by price and then volume. Because of this selection, the sample does not show every threshold in the event, and the omitted markets should not be read as having lower or higher prices than those shown.
Historical Context
Wikipedia's Bitcoin article says Bitcoin was invented in 2008 and that its use as a currency began in 2009 with the release of its open-source implementation [3]. The history article describes Bitcoin as originally designed as a medium of exchange but now primarily regarded as a store of value, and notes that from the mid-2010s some businesses began accepting it alongside traditional currencies [2]. The Bitcoin article also reports that from 2021 to 2025 El Salvador adopted it as legal tender before revoking that status, and that several countries have banned it [3]. These sources describe past developments only. They do not establish Bitcoin's price history or any present-day market conditions.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether Bitcoin's price reaches or falls to a stated threshold within the November 9-15 window named in the event title and ending on the listed end time [1]. Each market in the event is a separate yes or no question at a separate threshold, so the event as a whole shows how the provider's traders priced several price levels at the observation time [1]. The Yes and No prices in the snapshot are the recorded values for each outcome, and they are useful for seeing how the provider's prices were distributed across thresholds at that moment. They do not show how often Bitcoin actually reached those levels, and they should not be treated as confirmed probabilities or as a basis for a trade without checking live prices and the full contract terms.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-14 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this event ask?
The event asks what price Bitcoin will hit during the November 9-15 window, and it contains separate yes or no markets for several specific price levels [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-16T05:00:00.000Z [1].
Are the prices in this snapshot the current prices?
No. The prices come from a provider observation recorded at 2026-11-14T06:00:05.987Z [1]. They are snapshots of that moment, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
Does the full sample include every market in the event?
No. The provider event has 15 markets and 12 are included in this sample, selected by highest valid Yes price and then volume [1]. The omitted markets are not shown here and should not be assumed to have any particular price.
What is Bitcoin?
Wikipedia describes Bitcoin as a cryptocurrency that uses cryptography to control its creation and management rather than relying on central authorities [2][3]. It was first released as open-source software in 2009 [3].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.