GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

NL MVP Winner?

Total Volume

$0.00

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Markets

Trade on Kalshi

NL MVP Winner?

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Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

53 markets tracked

Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(53)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP?	Kalshi	88%
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win NL MVP?	Kalshi	11%
Will Kyle Schwarber win NL MVP?	Kalshi	3%
Will Juan Soto win NL MVP?	Kalshi	2%
Will Matt Olson win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will James Wood win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jordan Walker win NL MVP	Kalshi	1%
Will Nico Hoerner win NL MVP	Kalshi	1%
Will Drake Baldwin win NL MVP	Kalshi	1%
Will Mickey Moniak win NL MVP	Kalshi	1%
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Xander Bogaerts win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Will Smith win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Willy Adames win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Trea Turner win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Tie/Co-Winners win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Teoscar Hernández win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Sal Frelick win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Rafael Devers win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Paul Skenes win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Oneil Cruz win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Ozzie Albies win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Nick Castellanos win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Nolan Arenado win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Masyn Winn win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Marcus Semien win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Max Muncy win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Manny Machado win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Michael Harris II win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Matt Chapman win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Michael Busch win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Mookie Betts win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Luis Robert Jr. win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Kyle Tucker win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Ketel Marte win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jackson Merrill win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jackson Chourio win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Ian Happ win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Hunter Goodman win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Geraldo Perdomo win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Francisco Lindor win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Freddie Freeman win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Elly De La Cruz win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Dansby Swanson win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Christian Yelich win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Caleb Durbin win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Corbin Carroll win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Brice Turang win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Bryce Harper win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Bo Bichette win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%
Will Alex Bregman win NL MVP?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 season If X wins the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NL MVP Winner?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 season

If X wins the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Jordan Walker wins the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules:   Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jordan Walker win NL MVP
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Nico Hoerner win NL MVP
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Drake Baldwin win NL MVP
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Mickey Moniak win NL MVP
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Xander Bogaerts win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Will Smith win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Willy Adames win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Trea Turner win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Tie/Co-Winners win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Teoscar Hernández win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Sal Frelick win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Rafael Devers win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Paul Skenes win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Oneil Cruz win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Ozzie Albies win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Nick Castellanos win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Nolan Arenado win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Masyn Winn win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Marcus Semien win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Matt Olson win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Max Muncy win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Manny Machado win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Michael Harris II win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Matt Chapman win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Michael Busch win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Mookie Betts win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Luis Robert Jr. win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Kyle Tucker win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Kyle Schwarber win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Ketel Marte win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will James Wood win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Juan Soto win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Jackson Merrill win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Jackson Chourio win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Ian Happ win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Hunter Goodman win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Geraldo Perdomo win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will Francisco Lindor win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will Freddie Freeman win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will Elly De La Cruz win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will Dansby Swanson win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will Christian Yelich win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will Caleb Durbin win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 49. Will Corbin Carroll win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 50. Will Brice Turang win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 51. Will Bryce Harper win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 52. Will Bo Bichette win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 53. Will Alex Bregman win NL MVP?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

NL MVP Winner?

2026 season If X wins the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Volume$0.00

Markets53

53 of 53

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KALSHI

Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP?

If Shohei Ohtani wins the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win NL MVP?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win NL MVP?

If Pete Crow-Armstrong wins the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Kyle Schwarber win NL MVP?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Kyle Schwarber win NL MVP?

If Kyle Schwarber wins the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Juan Soto win NL MVP?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Juan Soto win NL MVP?

If Juan Soto wins the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Matt Olson win NL MVP?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Matt Olson win NL MVP?

If Matt Olson wins the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/jWVx8f" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="NL MVP Winner?"></iframe>

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Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

NL MVP Winner?

Markets (53)

Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP?

Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win NL MVP?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win NL MVP?

Will Kyle Schwarber win NL MVP?

Will Kyle Schwarber win NL MVP?

Will Juan Soto win NL MVP?

Will Juan Soto win NL MVP?

Will Matt Olson win NL MVP?

Will Matt Olson win NL MVP?

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

NL MVP Winner?

Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP?

Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win NL MVP?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win NL MVP?

Will Kyle Schwarber win NL MVP?

Will Kyle Schwarber win NL MVP?

Will Juan Soto win NL MVP?

Will Juan Soto win NL MVP?

Will Matt Olson win NL MVP?

Will Matt Olson win NL MVP?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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