Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by October 31?

Name: "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by October 31?
End: 2026-10-31T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$56.40K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by October 31?

Vol

$56.40K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $56.40K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $56.40K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?	Poly	98%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 970m and 975m by October 31?	Poly	1%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 975m and 980m by October 31?	Poly	1%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 985m and 990m by October 31?	Poly	1%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 990m by October 31?	Poly	0%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 980m and 985m by October 31?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$56.40K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by October 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and October 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this mark

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by October 31?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 31, 2026 (20 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by October 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and October 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this mark

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by October 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this mar"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $56.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $16.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.44)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $24.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 970m and 975m by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $7.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 975m and 980m by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $6.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 980m and 985m by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 985m and 990m by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 990m by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $6.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture