GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026

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US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026

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10 markets tracked

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?	Kalshi	93%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?	Kalshi	78%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?	Kalshi	64%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $160 billion?	Kalshi	50%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $170 billion?	Kalshi	31%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $180 billion?	Kalshi	23%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $190 billion?	Kalshi	15%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $200 billion?	Kalshi	9%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $220 billion?	Kalshi	7%
Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $210 billion?	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

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$0.00

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About This Event

December 2026 If Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 is above X billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** December 2026

If Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 is above X billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 is above $130 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $160 billion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $170 billion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $220 billion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $210 billion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $200 billion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $190 billion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $180 billion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026

Volume$0.00

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?

If Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 is above $130 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?

If Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 is above $140 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?

If Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 is above $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $160 billion?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $160 billion?

If Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 is above $160 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $170 billion?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $170 billion?

If Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 is above $170 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/jb-2xz" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026"></iframe>

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US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026

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Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026

Markets (10)

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $160 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $160 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $170 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $170 billion?

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Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US manufacturing construction spending in December 2026

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $130 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $140 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $150 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $160 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $160 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $170 billion?

Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $170 billion?

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