NCAA Football: Team to have an Undefeated Season
PM $27.8K
1
4
NCAA Football: Team to have an Undefeated Season
PM $27.8K
1
4
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Miami (FL) at 33%.
Polymarket
- Miami (FL)33%
- Texas Tech30%
- BYU25.3%
- Utah20.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $27.8K
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team completes the 2026 college football regular season undefeated. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Only regular-season games count; conference championship, bowl, and College Football Playoff games do not count toward this market. A canceled or unplayed game does not count as a loss. If the 2026 FBS regular season is not completed for the listed team such that its undefeated status cannot be determined, or is postponed past January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract family asks whether a listed team will complete the 2026 college football regular season undefeated. Each saved market resolves "Yes" if its team does so and "No" otherwise [1]. Only regular-season games count. Conference championship, bowl, and College Football Playoff games are excluded, and a canceled or unplayed game does not count as a loss [1].
The rules also include a third result. The market resolves "Other" if the 2026 FBS regular season is not completed for the listed team such that its undefeated status cannot be determined, or if the season is postponed past January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET [1]. That date is a rule threshold, not an announced schedule. The resolution source is official NCAA information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved data was observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 03:24:27Z. These are prices from that observation window, not live quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Each market lists a Yes and a No price, and within each market the two sum to 1.00.
The sample includes seven Polymarket markets from one event: Notre Dame and Georgia at 0.435 Yes, Miami (FL) at 0.295, Texas Tech at 0.255, Utah at 0.230, Indiana at 0.205, and BYU at 0.0755 [1]. Each market is a separate contract about a different team, so the prices should be read individually. Averaging or ranking them as a single field would mislead, because the contracts do not form one mutually exclusive set.
Volume and trader counts were not supplied, so this snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each view.
What remains uncertain
The listed end time for the event is not supplied, and every market shows a null end date. The sample is complete for these saved markets (seven of seven), but the source warns that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome. The "Other" outcome described in the rules does not appear as a priced market in this sample, so no price can be assigned to it from this evidence.
The evidence does not explain why prices are at their current levels, and it does not show how these prices have changed over time. A price difference between two contracts, even on different platforms, does not by itself indicate an opportunity, since their wording, close times, and resolution sources may differ.
References
- Polymarket: NCAA Football: Team to have an Undefeated Season. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a contract titled "NCAA Football: Team to have an Undefeated Season." The provider rules say the market resolves "Yes" if the listed team completes the 2026 college football regular season undefeated, and "No" otherwise [1]. Each listed team has its own binary market under this event, so the question for each is whether that specific team finishes the regular season without a loss. The rules narrow what counts. Only regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not affect the market [1]. A canceled or unplayed game does not count as a loss [1]. A market can also resolve "Other" rather than "Yes" or "No." That happens if the 2026 FBS regular season is not completed for the listed team in a way that allows its undefeated status to be determined, or if the season is postponed past January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET [1]. The stated resolution source is official information from the NCAA's football statistics pages, though the rules also allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used [1]. The provider record does not supply a listed end time for the event, and the individual market end dates in the saved data are blank [1]. That means the contract's closing date should not be read from these records alone. At the observation time recorded for this snapshot, the saved Yes prices for the seven listed teams ranged from 0.0755 to 0.435 [1]. Notre Dame and Georgia each showed a Yes price of 0.435, Miami (FL) showed 0.295, Texas Tech showed 0.255, Utah showed 0.23, Indiana showed 0.205, and BYU showed 0.0755 [1]. These are provider price snapshots. They are not executable quotes, and they do not represent verified probabilities of any team finishing undefeated.
Historical Context
Reference material supplied for this topic describes a Wikipedia list of undefeated NCAA Division I football teams, which covers teams that finished a college football season in the NCAA's Division I, or historic equivalent, without any losses [2]. The same supplied material notes that the highest level of college football, now NCAA Division I Football Bowl Subdivision, is the only NCAA sport without a yearly championship event, and that its national championship is awarded annually by various organizations and is therefore sometimes called a "mythical national championship" [3]. The supplied sources do not provide further historical detail about undefeated seasons, so this entry does not describe past seasons in depth.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome: whether a named team completes the 2026 regular season with no losses [1]. Because the rules exclude conference championship, bowl, and playoff games, the contract concerns only the regular-season record [1]. Since the Football Bowl Subdivision has no NCAA-hosted championship event and its national title is awarded by various organizations [3], this contract does not depend on the national championship outcome. It depends on the regular-season record and the resolution rules described above [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does a loss in a conference championship or bowl game make a team's market resolve No?
According to the provider rules, conference championship, bowl, and College Football Playoff games do not count toward this market [1]. The regular-season record is the basis for the undefeated question.
What happens to a canceled or unplayed game?
A canceled or unplayed game does not count as a loss under the provider rules [1].
When would a market resolve Other instead of Yes or No?
The rules say a market resolves Other if the 2026 FBS regular season is not completed for the listed team so that its undefeated status cannot be determined, or if the regular season is postponed past January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET [1].
Where does the resolution information come from?
The stated resolution source is official information from the NCAA's football statistics pages. The rules also say a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
