GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp

Name: Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
End: 2026-08-20T09:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.68K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp

Vol

$9.68K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $9.68K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.68K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp	Poly	30%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

30%

Top Probability

$9.68K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consen

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Aug 20, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET:
If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows".
If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consen

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET:
If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows".
If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.60)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
- **Polymarket** (End: Aug 20, 2026): Vol $9.7K
  DATA: [Tokyo Yakult Swallows: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [Hiroshima Carp: 70.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports