Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
PM $1.34M
1
14
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
PM $1.34M
1
14
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Vladimir Putin at 84.5%.
Polymarket
- Vladimir Putin84.5%
- Mohammed bin Salman73.5%
- Kim Jong Un13.5%
- Aleksandr Lukashenko10.5%
- Changpeng Zhao10.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $1.34M
Reported volume · provider units
14
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers a single Polymarket event, "Who will Trump meet with in 2026?" The source rules state that each listed individual's market resolves "Yes" if that person "meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET" [1]. The rules define a meeting as "any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person" [1]. The resolution source is "a consensus of credible reporting" [1].
Each market is a separate yes-or-no question about a named person, so the markets are not alternative outcomes of one question. The listed end dates also differ across markets. Some show 2026-12-31T23:59:00.000Z, while others show 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z or 2027-01-02T04:59:00.000Z [1]. Because the rules specify 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, readers should compare these listed times against the rule text rather than assume they match.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T01:54:01.269Z [1]. These prices describe that observation only and may not reflect later trading.
Among the included markets, the Yes prices are 0.795 for Vladimir Putin and 0.795 for Mohammed bin Salman, 0.275 for Kim Jong Un, 0.16 for King Mohammed VI, and 0.12 for Aleksandr Lukashenko [1]. Lower prices appear for the remaining included names, down to 0.0335 for Jair Bolsonaro [1]. A Yes price of 0.795 means the snapshot's quoted price for that contract was 0.795, not a verified probability that the meeting will occur.
The sample is partial. The provider event has 14 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets were selected by finite Yes price, descending, then volume [1]. The two omitted markets are not shown, so the sample cannot be read as the full field, and no conclusion should be drawn about where the omitted markets were priced. Volume also does not indicate liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is. It also does not show whether these prices would be executable, nor does it include any news on the individuals named. Each contract's resolution depends on the rule text and the consensus-of-reporting standard, which the evidence does not evaluate. Because these figures come from a single platform and a single provider event, no cross-platform comparison or averaging is supported. Differences in price between separate contracts should not be read as an arbitrage opportunity without a separate, verified review of rules, close times, and executable quotes.
References
- Polymarket: Who will Trump meet with in 2026?. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled "Who will Trump meet with in 2026?" The event groups separate yes or no contracts, one for each named individual. Each contract asks whether that person will meet Donald Trump during calendar year 2026. The provider rules say a contract resolves "Yes" if the listed individual meets Trump between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and "No" otherwise [1]. The rules define a meeting narrowly. It is any encounter in which the listed individual and Trump are both present and interact with each other in person [1]. Video calls, phone calls, and events where the two are not shown interacting therefore fall outside that definition as written. The provider says the resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting [1]. Resolution therefore depends on how reporting describes any encounter, not on an official calendar. The saved event lists a provider end time of 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z, and individual contracts show a mix of end dates, including December 31, 2026 at 23:59 and January 1 or 2, 2027 in the saved fields [1]. These are provider-recorded close and listing times. They are not announced meeting dates, and a date in the rules does not mean any meeting has been scheduled or has occurred. The saved market data shows yes and no prices for twelve contracts out of fourteen in the event [1]. Prices in the snapshot are shown as yes and no values, with Putin and Mohammed bin Salman both at 0.795 yes in that snapshot, Kim Jong Un at 0.275, King Mohammed VI at 0.16, Aleksandr Lukashenko at 0.12, Changpeng Zhao at 0.105, Pope Leo XIV at 0.0705, MrBeast at 0.045, iShowSpeed at 0.0375, Lai Ching-te at 0.0355, Nick Fuentes at 0.035, and Jair Bolsonaro at 0.0335. These figures are snapshots from a saved provider record. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants. Because the sample is partial, the two omitted contracts are not shown here, and this article does not describe their prices or rank them against the included names.
Why It Matters
The contracts measure whether a specific named person will have a qualifying in-person encounter with Donald Trump during 2026 [1]. Each yes or no contract is independent of the others in its rules, and each depends on the provider's definition of a meeting and on consensus reporting as its resolution source [1]. The saved yes prices give a snapshot of how the market priced each outcome at observation time, which is useful for seeing how different names were priced in that record, but the prices are not forecasts and do not confirm that any meeting will happen [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as a meeting under these contracts?
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person [1]. The rules do not count encounters where the two are not both present and interacting in person.
How will these contracts be resolved?
The provider says the resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting [1]. A contract resolves "Yes" if the listed individual meets Trump in the stated 2026 window, and "No" otherwise [1].
Do the prices show the chance that a meeting will happen?
The saved prices are snapshots of market values at the observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The event record does not establish that any listed meeting has been scheduled or has occurred [1].
Does this event include every person Trump might meet in 2026?
No. The saved provider event has fourteen markets, and twelve are included in this sample [1]. The sample is partial, so the omitted contracts are not shown and should not be inferred from the included prices.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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