$24.55K
1
6
$24.55K
1
6
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between ex-RUBY and Omega in the CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage, initially scheduled for March 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-RUBY" if ex-RUBY win the match against Omega. This market will resolve to "Omega" if Omega win the match against ex-RUBY. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-5
Prediction markets are forecasting a guaranteed win for the ex-RUBY team in this Counter-Strike match against Omega. On Polymarket, the probability for an ex-RUBY victory is trading at 100%. In practical terms, traders collectively believe there is no chance Omega will win this specific match.
The 100% probability is almost certainly due to a known match result, not pure speculation. This match was scheduled for March 1st. By the time these market odds solidified, the actual game had very likely already been played, and the outcome was known to traders with access to results. The event itself is a group stage match in a regional online tournament, the CCT Europe Series. These tournaments feature many semi-professional teams. While upsets happen, a 100% market price typically means the event is over and the result is being reported. The significant volume wagered, over $25,000, suggests informed traders acted on confirmed information to settle the market.
There are no future events to watch that would change this prediction. The pivotal event was the match itself on March 1st. Any shift in the market to 100% would have occurred immediately after the match concluded and the winner was verified. Markets for short-term sports events like this often become "informed trading" hubs right after the real-world outcome is known but before official market resolution.
For concluded sporting events where the result is known, prediction markets at 100% are perfectly reliable. They are simply reflecting a settled fact. For future esports matches, prediction markets are moderately reliable, similar to traditional sports betting odds, as they aggregate the knowledge of many fans and analysts. However, their accuracy for niche tournaments can be lower due to less available information and trading activity. The main limitation here is timing. This analysis shows how a live prediction market can transition into a results-reporting mechanism once an event passes.
The Polymarket contract for this Counter-Strike match shows "ex-RUBY" trading at 100 cents, a price that indicates a 100% probability of that outcome. This is a definitive market consensus that the match has been decided in favor of ex-RUBY. With $25,000 in total volume, the market has low liquidity, which is typical for niche esports events. The 100% price and the note that resolution is imminent or past due strongly suggest the match has already concluded and the result is known to traders.
The 100% price is not a prediction but a reflection of a known result. In esports prediction markets, contracts often reach this extreme price after an event finishes but before official market resolution. The thin $25,000 volume across six related markets confirms this is a lower-tier tournament, attracting limited speculative trading interest compared to premier Counter-Strike events. The initial scheduling for March 1 indicates the match is historical data for analysts, not a future uncertainty. For context, the CCT Europe Series is a online tournament circuit, and a Best-of-Three (BO3) format in the group stage is standard, reducing the chance of a major upset compared to a single-game match.
Nothing can change these odds. The market is effectively closed, waiting for final administrative resolution. The conditions for a market void—such as a cancellation, tie, or significant delay—are the only alternative to the 100% price for ex-RUBY. Given the market's certainty, these scenarios are viewed as negligible risks. The resolution will simply formalize the already-known outcome, finalizing the contract for ex-RUBY. For future similar markets, odds would be driven by team form, roster changes, and map pool strengths, but none of those factors apply to a settled event.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns a Counter-Strike 2 professional esports match between the teams ex-RUBY and Omega. The match is part of the CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage, a regional online tournament. It was originally scheduled to be played on March 1, 2024, at 4:00 AM Eastern Time. The market resolves based on which team wins this best-of-three series. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date, the market resolves to a 50-50 split. The CCT Europe Series is a recurring tournament circuit organized by REPUBLEAGUE and its parent company, GRID Esports, offering prize money and qualification points for larger events. These online tournaments are a proving ground for up-and-coming European teams. Interest in this specific match stems from tracking the performance of these tier-two teams. Bettors and esports analysts follow such matches to gauge team form, roster stability, and potential for advancement in the competitive scene. The outcome influences each team's standing in the group stage, affecting their chances to progress to the playoffs and earn a share of the $50,000 prize pool for the entire CCT Europe Series #17 event.
The CCT Europe Series began in 2022 as part of a broader effort to structure competition below the top-tier ESL Pro League and BLAST Premier circuits. Organized by REPUBLEAGUE, these tournaments fill a gap for semi-professional and rising teams. The series typically features multiple online stages culminating in offline finals. Previous iterations, like CCT Europe Series #16, were won by established tier-two teams like 9INE, who earned $30,000 for first place. For teams like ex-RUBY and Omega, consistent performance across these series is vital for accumulating prize money and attracting sponsorship. Historically, success in CCT events can lead to invitations to more prestigious tournaments or notice from larger organizations looking to acquire rosters. The match format, a best-of-three series, is standard for group stage deciders and playoff matches in Counter-Strike, testing a team's map pool and strategic adaptability.
Beyond determining a single match winner, this event matters for the ecosystem of professional Counter-Strike. The CCT circuit provides a financial lifeline and competitive practice for dozens of players and support staff. Prize money from these tournaments funds team operations and player salaries outside the elite tier. For the organizations and players involved, strong results can lead to sponsorship deals or acquisition by larger esports brands. For fans and bettors, these matches offer engagement with the professional scene beyond just watching top teams. They allow for tracking player development and discovering new talent. The market's outcome also contributes data for power rankings and qualification seedings for future events, creating a ripple effect in the competitive schedule for both teams.
The match was scheduled for March 1, 2024. As of the creation of this market, the result is pending. The teams are expected to field their announced rosters. Any last-minute roster changes, technical issues, or rescheduling would be reported on HLTV.org and the tournament's official channels. The outcome will determine each team's record in the group stage, influencing their path to the playoffs.
The CCT Europe Series is an online tournament circuit for European Counter-Strike teams, organized by REPUBLEAGUE/GRID Esports. It features a prize pool and serves as a qualifying pathway for larger events, specifically catering to tier-two and tier-three teams.
Rosters for tier-two teams can change frequently. The most accurate and up-to-date player lists for both ex-RUBY and Omega are found on HLTV.org on the specific match page, which is updated by tournament administrators.
CCT Europe Series matches are typically streamed live on the REPUBLEAGUE Twitch channel or YouTube channel. The official stream link is usually provided on the HLTV match page shortly before the match begins.
Tournament organizers follow specific rules for technical pauses and disconnections. Typically, the round is paused if possible, or the match may be restarted from a certain point depending on the tournament's rulebook. The result stands once the match is completed under the organizer's supervision.
This is a group stage match. A win awards points or improves a team's win-loss record within their group. The top teams from the group advance to the playoff stage of the tournament, getting closer to the prize money.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
6 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 100% |
| Poly | 100% |
| Poly | 100% |
| Poly | 0% |
| Poly | 0% |
| Poly | 0% |
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