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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Name: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
End: 2026-06-30T18:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$13.39M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Vol

$13.39M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $13.39M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.39M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Poly	65%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Poly	53%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Poly	53%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Poly	33%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Poly	20%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Poly	20%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Poly	14%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Poly	8%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Poly	7%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Poly	4%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	Poly	4%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?	Poly	3%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	Poly	2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?	Poly	2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?	Poly	2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	Poly	1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$13.39M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example;

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, July 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example;

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Crude Oil (CL) fu"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.21M
* **Total Liquidity:** $970.3K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 9.49)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $186.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $135.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $95.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $108.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $21.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $41.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $32.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $1.70M
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $2.95M
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $381.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $541.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $271.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $560.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $250.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $234.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $502.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $1.19M
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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