Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?

Total Volume

$425.33

Events

Markets

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Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?

Vol

$425.33

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $425.33

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $425.33

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	26%
Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Gotion High-Tech as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	26%
Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	25%
Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	21%
Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of WuXi Biologics as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	19%
Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of ByteDance as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

26%

Top Probability

$425.33

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Jul 1, 2027 If the United States Department of Defense announces the inclusion X as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jul 1, 2027

If the United States Department of Defense announces the inclusion X as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the United States Department of Defense announces the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occ"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $425
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 9, 2027): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of WuXi Biologics as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 9, 2027): Vol $82
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 9, 2027): Vol $175
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Gotion High-Tech as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 9, 2027): Vol $104
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 9, 2027): Vol $29
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of ByteDance as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 9, 2027): Vol $31
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?

Volume$425.33

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

If the United States Department of Defense announces the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occ

KALSHI

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Gotion High-Tech as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHITech

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Gotion High-Tech as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

If the United States Department of Defense announces the inclusion of Gotion High-Tech as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the

KALSHI

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.0¢No 75.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

If the United States Department of Defense announces the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event o

KALSHI

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHITech

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

If the United States Department of Defense announces the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the even

KALSHI

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of WuXi Biologics as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of WuXi Biologics as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

If the United States Department of Defense announces the inclusion of WuXi Biologics as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the e

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Average Yes Price

21¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/jp2Te2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?"></iframe>

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Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?

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Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?

Markets (6)

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Gotion High-Tech as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Gotion High-Tech as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of WuXi Biologics as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of WuXi Biologics as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

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Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Gotion High-Tech as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Gotion High-Tech as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of WuXi Biologics as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of WuXi Biologics as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?

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