Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Name: Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
End: 2026-01-16T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$178.77K

Events

Markets

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Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

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Polymarket

markets · $178.77K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $178.77K

100%

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1 market tracked

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$178.77K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On January 8, 2026, a nationwide and ongoing internet blackout began in Iran amid continuing protests. This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “internet access is restored” means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have recovered to at least 20% of the prior 14-day baseline for a minimum of four consecutive hour

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 16, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** On January 8, 2026, a nationwide and ongoing internet blackout began in Iran amid continuing protests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “internet access is restored” means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have recovered to at least 20% of the prior 14-day baseline for a minimum of four consecutive hour

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"On January 8, 2026, a nationwide and ongoing internet blackout began in Iran amid continuing protests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “internet"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $178.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.1K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 16.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $178.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

2¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/jtxgq1" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?"></iframe>

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Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

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Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)