Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Seattle vs Denver: Passing Yards

Total Volume

$469.36

Events

Markets

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Seattle vs Denver: Passing Yards

Vol

$469.36

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $469.36

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $469.36

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Sam Darnold: 150+ passing yards

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Sam Darnold: 150+ passing yards	Kalshi	86%
Bo Nix: 150+ passing yards	Kalshi	81%
Sam Darnold: 175+ passing yards	Kalshi	74%
Bo Nix: 175+ passing yards	Kalshi	69%
Sam Darnold: 200+ passing yards	Kalshi	64%
Bo Nix: 200+ passing yards	Kalshi	53%
Sam Darnold: 225+ passing yards	Kalshi	45%
Bo Nix: 225+ passing yards	Kalshi	37%
Sam Darnold: 250+ passing yards	Kalshi	33%
Bo Nix: 250+ passing yards	Kalshi	24%
Sam Darnold: 275+ passing yards	Kalshi	17%
Bo Nix: 275+ passing yards	Kalshi	13%
Sam Darnold: 300+ passing yards	Kalshi	11%
Sam Darnold: 325+ passing yards	Kalshi	7%
Bo Nix: 300+ passing yards	Kalshi	7%
Bo Nix: 325+ passing yards	Kalshi	4%
Sam Darnold: 350+ passing yards	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$469.36

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

SEA vs DEN (Oct 15) If Sam Darnold records X passing yards in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. If Sam Darnold is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Sam Darnold takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settl

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Seattle vs Denver: Passing Yards
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** SEA vs DEN (Oct 15)

If Sam Darnold records X passing yards in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. If Sam Darnold is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Sam Darnold takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settl

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Sam Darnold records 350+ passing yards in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. I"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $469
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Sam Darnold: 350+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Sam Darnold: 325+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Sam Darnold: 300+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Sam Darnold: 275+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Sam Darnold: 250+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Sam Darnold: 225+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $56
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Sam Darnold: 200+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Sam Darnold: 175+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Sam Darnold: 150+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Bo Nix: 325+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $328
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Bo Nix: 300+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Bo Nix: 275+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Bo Nix: 250+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Bo Nix: 225+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Bo Nix: 200+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $48
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Bo Nix: 175+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Bo Nix: 150+ passing yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Seattle vs Denver: Passing Yards

Volume$469.36

Markets17

17 of 17

Sort:

KALSHI

Sam Darnold: 150+ passing yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Sam Darnold: 150+ passing yards

If Sam Darnold records 150+ passing yards in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. I

KALSHI

Bo Nix: 150+ passing yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.0¢No 19.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Bo Nix: 150+ passing yards

If Bo Nix records 150+ passing yards in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Bo Nix in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. If Bo Nix i

KALSHI

Sam Darnold: 175+ passing yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Sam Darnold: 175+ passing yards

If Sam Darnold records 175+ passing yards in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. I

KALSHI

Bo Nix: 175+ passing yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Bo Nix: 175+ passing yards

If Bo Nix records 175+ passing yards in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Bo Nix in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. If Bo Nix i

KALSHI

Sam Darnold: 200+ passing yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Sam Darnold: 200+ passing yards

If Sam Darnold records 200+ passing yards in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Sam Darnold in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. I

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37¢

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Seattle vs Denver: Passing Yards

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Sam Darnold: 150+ passing yards

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Events (1)

Seattle vs Denver: Passing Yards

Markets (17)

Sam Darnold: 150+ passing yards

Sam Darnold: 150+ passing yards

Bo Nix: 150+ passing yards

Bo Nix: 150+ passing yards

Sam Darnold: 175+ passing yards

Sam Darnold: 175+ passing yards

Bo Nix: 175+ passing yards

Bo Nix: 175+ passing yards

Sam Darnold: 200+ passing yards

Sam Darnold: 200+ passing yards

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Sam Darnold: 150+ passing yards

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Seattle vs Denver: Passing Yards

Sam Darnold: 150+ passing yards

Sam Darnold: 150+ passing yards

Bo Nix: 150+ passing yards

Bo Nix: 150+ passing yards

Sam Darnold: 175+ passing yards

Sam Darnold: 175+ passing yards

Bo Nix: 175+ passing yards

Bo Nix: 175+ passing yards

Sam Darnold: 200+ passing yards

Sam Darnold: 200+ passing yards

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