Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

Name: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci
End: 2026-10-18T08:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.89

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

Vol

$6.89

Events

Markets

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.89

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.89

100%

Polymarket leads

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3 markets tracked

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Raffaele Ciurnelli (-1.5) vs Leonardo Primucci (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Leonardo Primucci (-1.5) vs Raffaele Ciurnelli (+1.5)	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$6.89

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Raffaele Ciurnelli and Leonardo Primucci in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raffaele Ciurnelli' if Raffaele Ciurnelli advances against Leonardo Primucci. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Primucci' if Leonardo Primucci advances against Raffaele Ciurnelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been deter

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 18, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Raffaele Ciurnelli and Leonardo Primucci in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Raffaele Ciurnelli' if Raffaele Ciurnelli advances against Leonardo Primucci.

This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Primucci' if Leonardo Primucci advances against Raffaele Ciurnelli.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been deter

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Raffaele Ciurnelli and Leonardo Primucci in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Raffaele Ciurnelli' if Raffaele Ciurnelli advances against Leonardo Primucci."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7
* **Total Liquidity:** $76.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Raffaele Ciurnelli: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Leonardo Primucci: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Raffaele Ciurnelli (-1.5) vs Leonardo Primucci (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Raffaele Ciurnelli: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Leonardo Primucci: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Leonardo Primucci (-1.5) vs Raffaele Ciurnelli (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Leonardo Primucci: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Raffaele Ciurnelli: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

Volume$6.89

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POLYMARKET

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Raffaele Ciurnelli (-1.5) vs Leonardo Primucci (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Raffaele Ciurnelli (-1.5) vs Leonardo Primucci (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Raffaele Ciurnelli and Leonardo Primucci in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Raffaele Ciurnelli" if Raffaele Ciurnelli wins by 2 or more sets than Leonardo Primucci, b

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Leonardo Primucci (-1.5) vs Raffaele Ciurnelli (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Leonardo Primucci (-1.5) vs Raffaele Ciurnelli (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Primucci and Raffaele Ciurnelli in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Leonardo Primucci" if Leonardo Primucci wins by 2 or more sets than Raffaele Ciurnelli, ba

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Oct 18, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/k7j8ey" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci"></iframe>

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

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Events (1)

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

Markets (3)

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

Set Handicap: Raffaele Ciurnelli (-1.5) vs Leonardo Primucci (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Raffaele Ciurnelli (-1.5) vs Leonardo Primucci (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Leonardo Primucci (-1.5) vs Raffaele Ciurnelli (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Leonardo Primucci (-1.5) vs Raffaele Ciurnelli (+1.5)

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

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M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Raffaele Ciurnelli vs Leonardo Primucci

Set Handicap: Raffaele Ciurnelli (-1.5) vs Leonardo Primucci (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Raffaele Ciurnelli (-1.5) vs Leonardo Primucci (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Leonardo Primucci (-1.5) vs Raffaele Ciurnelli (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Leonardo Primucci (-1.5) vs Raffaele Ciurnelli (+1.5)

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