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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Name: Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner
End: 2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.94M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Vol

$1.94M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.94M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.94M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

35 markets tracked

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(35)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	31%
Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	22%
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	21%
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	15%
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	3%
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	2%
Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	1%
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	1%
Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	1%
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	1%
Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	1%
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	1%
Will Cyprus be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	1%
Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	1%
Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	1%
Will Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	1%
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Luxembourg be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Montenegro be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Georgia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Latvia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Portugal be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%
Will San Marino be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

Top Probability

$1.94M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Euro

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 16, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Euro

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's offi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.94M
* **Total Liquidity:** $638.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $31.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Cyprus be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $50.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $54.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $42.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $129.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $49.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Montenegro be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $36.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $93.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $64.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $53.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $159.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $47.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Georgia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $39.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Latvia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $36.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $70.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Armenia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $29.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $74.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $41.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $87.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $72.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Lithuania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $47.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Luxembourg be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $27.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Portugal be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $29.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $42.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $99.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $62.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $29.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Albania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $29.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $32.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $29.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $82.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $58.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $29.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will San Marino be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $30.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $49.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture