Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
56%
Top Probability
$26.98K
Volume
120
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above X USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Saved price pairs
0
No exact saved pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Volume DistributionTotal: $26.98K
100%
Kalshi leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
120 markets tracked
Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.550 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(120)
Market
Platform
Price
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.550 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
56%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.555 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
54%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.560 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
52%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.565 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
51%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.570 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
50%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.575 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
47%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.580 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
46%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.585 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
44%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.590 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
44%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.600 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
41%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.595 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
40%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.610 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
38%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.605 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
37%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.615 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
34%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.620 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
34%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.625 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
31%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.630 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
31%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.640 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
29%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.635 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
28%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.695 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
28%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.645 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
25%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.650 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
24%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.005 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
24%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.945 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
24%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.655 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
23%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.660 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
22%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.665 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
21%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.670 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
20%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.720 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
20%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.675 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
19%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.880 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
19%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.680 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
18%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.705 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
18%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.825 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
17%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.685 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
17%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
17%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.690 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
16%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.725 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
16%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.910 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
16%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.700 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
14%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.990 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
14%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.875 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
14%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.710 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
14%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.730 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
12%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.820 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
12%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.715 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
11%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.740 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
11%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.745 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
11%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.805 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
11%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.865 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
11%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.735 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
11%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.935 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
11%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.795 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
10%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.810 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
10%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.815 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
10%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.030 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
10%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.940 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
10%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.925 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
10%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.915 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
10%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.890 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
10%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.840 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.845 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.025 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.020 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.015 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.995 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.955 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.950 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.930 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.920 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.895 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.885 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.870 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.855 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.785 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.790 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.060 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.010 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.905 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.750 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
8%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.835 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
8%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.975 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
8%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.755 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
7%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.760 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
7%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.765 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
7%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.770 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
6%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.800 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.860 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.775 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.780 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.985 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.055 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
4%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.900 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
3%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.850 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
3%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.050 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
3%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.980 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
3%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.970 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.965 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.960 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.830 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.145 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.140 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.135 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.130 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.125 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.120 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.115 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.110 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.105 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.100 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.095 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.090 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.085 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.080 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.075 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.070 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.065 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.045 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.040 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.035 USD/MMBtu on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
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