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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?
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As of Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 21.5% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes21.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $5.9K

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

K 27.9K contracts
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Dec 4, 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Nov 27, 2026?Yes 52%
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Nov 20, 2026?Yes 30.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?

Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?

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Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on critical minerals, where the executive action must explicitly reference critical minerals in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on wind turbines, where the executive action must explicitly reference wind turbines in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?Yes 20%
Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on foreign-made films, where the executive action must explicitly reference foreign-made films in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?Yes 19.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump declare a national emergency?

Will Trump declare a national emergency?

K 2.9K contracts
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 55.5%
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 53%
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 45%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many bills will Trump veto in 2026?

How many bills will Trump veto in 2026?

K 38.0K contracts
Will Trump veto at least 1 bill before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33%
Will Trump veto at least 2 bills before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%
Will Trump veto at least 3 bills before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump declare an election emergency?

Will Trump declare an election emergency?

K 283.4K contracts
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 28%
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026?Yes 9.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026?

Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026?

K 6.0K contracts
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Oct 2026?Yes 23%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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