GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Bank of Korea rate decision in July

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Bank of Korea rate decision in July

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5 markets tracked

Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?	Kalshi	91%
Will the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?	Kalshi	10%
Will the Bank of Korea Hike more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?	Kalshi	3%
Will the Bank of Korea Cut 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?	Kalshi	1%
Will the Bank of Korea Cut more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?	Kalshi	1%

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91%

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About This Event

Jul 15, 2026 meeting If the Bank of Korea takes the action X more than 25bps at July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bank of Korea rate decision in July
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Jul 15, 2026 meeting

If the Bank of Korea takes the action X more than 25bps at July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Bank of Korea takes the action of Maintain current rate at July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy r"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Bank of Korea Hike more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Bank of Korea Cut more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Bank of Korea Cut 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Bank of Korea rate decision in July

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Markets5

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KALSHI

Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.0¢No 9.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

If the Bank of Korea takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, onl

KALSHI

Will the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

If the Bank of Korea takes the action of Maintain current rate at July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy r

KALSHI

Will the Bank of Korea Hike more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Bank of Korea Hike more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

If the Bank of Korea takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy ra

KALSHI

Will the Bank of Korea Cut 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Bank of Korea Cut 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

If the Bank of Korea takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only

KALSHI

Will the Bank of Korea Cut more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Bank of Korea Cut more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

If the Bank of Korea takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rat

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/kKOhvn" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Bank of Korea rate decision in July"></iframe>

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Bank of Korea rate decision in July

Bank of Korea rate decision in July

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Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

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Events (1)

Bank of Korea rate decision in July

Markets (5)

Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Hike more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Hike more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Cut 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Cut 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Cut more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Cut more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Bank of Korea rate decision in July

Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Hike more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Hike more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Cut 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Cut 1-25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Cut more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea Cut more than 25bps at the July Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Board meeting?

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