Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire

Name: Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire
End: 2026-11-03T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.01K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire

Vol

$6.01K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.01K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.01K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?	Poly	67%
Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Minnesota and New Hampshire?	Poly	19%
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Republicans win New Hampshire?	Poly	17%
Will Republicans win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Democrats win Minnesota?	Poly	4%
Will Republicans win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Democrats win New Hampshire?	Poly	3%
Will Republicans win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?	Poly	2%
Will Democrats win the Michigan Senate seat, and Republicans win Minnesota and New Hampshire?	Poly	2%
Will Democrats win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Republicans win Minnesota?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

67%

Top Probability

$6.01K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (23 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-liste"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $129.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Republicans win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Republicans win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Democrats win New Hampshire?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $214
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Republicans win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Democrats win Minnesota?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $211
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Minnesota and New Hampshire?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $256
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Democrats win the Michigan Senate seat, and Republicans win Minnesota and New Hampshire?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $158
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Democrats win the Michigan and New Hampshire Senate seats, and Republicans win Minnesota?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $199
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Democrats win the Michigan and Minnesota Senate seats, and Republicans win New Hampshire?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics