Name: Holstein Kiel vs. VfB Stuttgart
End: 2026-02-04T19:45:00.000Z

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Holstein Kiel vs. VfB Stuttgart | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-04?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-04?	Poly	64%
Will Holstein Kiel vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Poly	22%
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-02-04?	Poly	18%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Holstein Kiel vs. VfB Stuttgart
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 4, 2026 (20 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for Wednesday, February 4, 2026 between Holstein Kiel and VfB Stuttgart.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 4, 2026
If Holstein Kiel wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-02-04?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 4, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Holstein Kiel vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-04?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

19d 7h remaining

Feb 04, 2026 7:45 PM

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-04?

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Events (1)

Holstein Kiel vs. VfB Stuttgart

Markets (3)

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-04?

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-04?

Will Holstein Kiel vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?

Will Holstein Kiel vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?

Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-02-04?

Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-02-04?

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Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-04?

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Holstein Kiel vs. VfB Stuttgart

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-04?

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-04?

Will Holstein Kiel vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?

Will Holstein Kiel vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?

Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-02-04?

Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-02-04?

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