Name: Boeing airplane deliveries above __ in Q1?
End: 2026-04-22T00:00:00.000Z

PredictPedia

Markets Wiki

Boeing airplane deliveries above __ in Q1? | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $11.25K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.25K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 125?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 125?	Poly	100%
Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 130?	Poly	100%
Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 120?	Poly	99%
Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 135?	Poly	99%
Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 140?	Poly	99%
Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 145?	Poly	1%
Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 150?	Poly	1%
Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 160?	Poly	1%
Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 155?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$11.25K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Boeing’s total number of commercial airplane deliveries for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Boeing airplane deliveries above __ in Q1?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 22, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Boeing’s total number of commercial airplane deliveries for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Boeing’s total number of commercial airplane deliveries for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $12.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.93)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 120?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 22, 2026): Vol $209
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 125?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 22, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 130?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 22, 2026): Vol $238
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 135?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 22, 2026): Vol $162
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 140?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 22, 2026): Vol $147
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 145?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 22, 2026): Vol $596
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 150?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 22, 2026): Vol $9.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 155?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 22, 2026): Vol $147
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Boeing’s commercial airplane deliveries in Q1 2026 be above 160?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 22, 2026): Vol $229
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance