Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Minnesota State Auditor winner?

Total Volume

$7.45K

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Minnesota State Auditor winner?

Vol

$7.45K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.45K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.45K

100%

Kalshi leads

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3 markets tracked

Will Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?	Kalshi	65%
Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?	Kalshi	36%
Will Jay Reeves win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$7.45K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

in 2026 If X wins the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Minnesota State Auditor winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** in 2026

If X wins the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zack Filipovich wins the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jay Reeves win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Minnesota State Auditor winner?

Volume$7.45K

Markets3

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KALSHI

Will Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

If Zack Filipovich wins the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

If Scott Jensen wins the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

KALSHI

Will Jay Reeves win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jay Reeves win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

If Jay Reeves wins the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/kfqvoB" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Minnesota State Auditor winner?"></iframe>

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Minnesota State Auditor winner?

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Will Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Minnesota State Auditor winner?

Markets (3)

Will Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

Will Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

Will Jay Reeves win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

Will Jay Reeves win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

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Will Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Minnesota State Auditor winner?

Will Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

Will Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

Will Jay Reeves win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

Will Jay Reeves win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?

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