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Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Who will Beyoncé wear at the Met Gala?

Name: Who will Beyoncé wear at the Met Gala?
End: 2026-05-04T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$82.66

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Markets

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Who will Beyoncé wear at the Met Gala?

Vol

$82.66

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $82.66

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $82.66

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Beyoncé wear Loewe at the Met Gala?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Beyoncé wear Loewe at the Met Gala?	Poly	59%
Will Beyoncé wear Versace at the Met Gala?	Poly	50%
Will Beyoncé wear Tiffany & Co. at the Met Gala?	Poly	50%
Will Beyoncé wear Schiaparelli at the Met Gala?	Poly	50%
Will Beyoncé wear Alexander McQueen at the Met Gala?	Poly	50%
Will Beyoncé wear Dolce & Gabbana at the Met Gala?	Poly	50%
Will Beyoncé wear Valentino at the Met Gala?	Poly	50%
Will Beyoncé wear Gucci at the Met Gala?	Poly	50%
Will Beyoncé wear Roberto Cavalli at the Met Gala?	Poly	49%
Will Beyoncé wear Balmain & Olivier Rousteing at the Met Gala?	Poly	47%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

59%

Top Probability

$82.66

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Beyoncé wears pieces of clothing, jewelry, or accessories from the listed designer at any point during her appearance at the 2026 Met Gala, currently scheduled for May 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Beyoncé does not attend the Met Gala, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve only after the Met Gala has concluded. No afterparties or later events will qualify; only appearances at the Met Gala itself will count. If t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will Beyoncé wear at the Met Gala?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 4, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Beyoncé wears pieces of clothing, jewelry, or accessories from the listed designer at any point during her appearance at the 2026 Met Gala, currently scheduled for May 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Beyoncé does not attend the Met Gala, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve only after the Met Gala has concluded. No afterparties or later events will qualify; only appearances at the Met Gala itself will count. If t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Beyoncé wears pieces of clothing, jewelry, or accessories from the listed designer at any point during her appearance at the 2026 Met Gala, currently scheduled for May 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Beyoncé does not attend the Met Gala,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $83
* **Total Liquidity:** $35
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.36)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Beyoncé wear Balmain & Olivier Rousteing at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $19
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Beyoncé wear Versace at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Beyoncé wear Tiffany & Co. at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Beyoncé wear Schiaparelli at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $24
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Beyoncé wear Loewe at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Beyoncé wear Alexander McQueen at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Beyoncé wear Roberto Cavalli at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Beyoncé wear Dolce & Gabbana at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Beyoncé wear Valentino at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Beyoncé wear Gucci at the Met Gala?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture