GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

Name: Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?
End: 2026-12-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.40K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

Vol

$3.40K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.40K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.40K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?	Poly	93%
Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?	Poly	80%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$3.40K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Flash model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Flash," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 1, 2026 (87 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Flash model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Flash," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Flash model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.93)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $391
  DATA: [Yes: 92.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech