Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season
Total Volume
$966.23
Events
1
Markets
1
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $966.23
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $966.23
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO1)
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 46% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
46%
Top Probability
$966.23
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Gaming win against FURIA Esports in the named LoL match in the CBLOL Cup Regular Season, scheduled for January 18 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win against paiN Gaming in the LoL match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this marke
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets currently price paiN Gaming's chance of defeating FURIA Esports at 46%, with FURIA Esports implied at 54%. This near-even split indicates the market views this CBLOL Cup Regular Season Best-of-One as a virtual coin flip, with a slight edge given to FURIA. The thin trading volume of approximately $1,000 suggests this is a preliminary consensus, subject to shift as more information and capital enter the market closer to the January 18 match.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The pricing reflects the historically competitive nature of the Brazilian LoL scene and the specific context of this early-season tournament. paiN Gaming is a perennial powerhouse and reigning 2024 CBLOL Split 2 champion, lending them inherent credibility. However, FURIA Esports has made significant, high-profile roster investments aimed at closing the gap, creating uncertainty about current form. The Best-of-One format inherently increases variance, compressing the odds between a reigning champion and an ambitious contender. Markets are likely weighing paiN's proven system against FURIA's potential for explosive, matchup-specific play in a single game.
What Could Change These Odds
The primary catalyst for odds movement will be the release of starting lineups and any last-minute roster news prior to the January 18 match. As this is an early-season cup, performance in immediately preceding matches could drastically shift perceptions of team form and meta-readiness. Significant betting volume from informed community members could also steer the probability, given the current low liquidity. A resolution of the current "Uncertain" market tag to a definitive "Yes" or "No" on the contract would also solidify trading activity.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.