Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Texas gas prices in Oct 2026

Total Volume

$873.42

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Texas gas prices in Oct 2026

Vol

$873.42

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $873.42

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $873.42

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will average gas prices be above $3.8000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will average gas prices be above $3.8000?	Kalshi	63%
Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?	Kalshi	51%
Will average gas prices be above $3.6500?	Kalshi	51%
Will average gas prices be above $4.1500?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0500?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $3.9500?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $3.9000?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $3.8500?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $3.7500?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $4.1000?	Kalshi	39%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2500?	Kalshi	14%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$873.42

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 31, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than X on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Texas gas prices in Oct 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 31, 2026

If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than X on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $4.2500 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $873
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $168
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $250
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $291
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.9500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.9000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.8500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.8000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.6500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $51
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Texas gas prices in Oct 2026

On Oct 31, 2026 If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than X on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$873.42

Markets13

13 of 13

Sort:

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.8000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.8000?

If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $3.8000 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $3.7000 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.6500?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.6500?

If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $3.6500 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.1500?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.1500?

If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $4.1500 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.0500?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.0500?

If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $4.0500 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

44¢

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Texas gas prices in Oct 2026

Texas gas prices in Oct 2026

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.8000?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Texas gas prices in Oct 2026

Markets (13)

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.8000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.8000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.6500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.6500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0500?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.8000?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Texas gas prices in Oct 2026

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.8000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.8000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.6500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.6500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0500?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget

Will average gas prices be above $3.8000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.8000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.8000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.6500?

Will average gas prices be above $3.6500?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1500?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1500?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0500?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0500?

Will average gas prices be above $3.8000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.8000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.8000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.6500?

Will average gas prices be above $3.6500?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1500?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1500?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0500?

Will average gas prices be above $4.0500?