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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Largest Company end of June?

Name: Largest Company end of June?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$8.48M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Largest Company end of June?

Vol

$8.48M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $8.48M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.48M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Poly	70%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Poly	28%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Poly	2%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Poly	0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Poly	0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Poly	0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

70%

Top Probability

$8.48M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Largest Company end of June?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.49M
* **Total Liquidity:** $933.2K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 9.10)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $1.03M
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $899.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $1.53M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $1.46M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $977.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $1.18M
  DATA: [Yes: 28.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $1.41M
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech