Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Total Volume

$23.82K

Events

Markets

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Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Vol

$23.82K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $23.82K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $23.82K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico?	Kalshi	50%
Texas combo: Bo French & Ken Paxton?	Kalshi	37%
Texas combo: Bo French & James Talarico?	Kalshi	18%
Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & Ken Paxton?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$23.82K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If ALL of Jon Rosenthal in the Texas Railroad Commissioner election X election win their respective elections in the November 3, 2026 Texas general elections for Railroad Commissioner and U.S. Senate, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if all elections have been certified.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Nov 3, 2026

If ALL of Jon Rosenthal in the Texas Railroad Commissioner election X election win their respective elections in the November 3, 2026 Texas general elections for Railroad Commissioner and U.S. Senate, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if all elections have been certified.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If ALL of Jon Rosenthal in the Texas Railroad Commissioner election and James Talarico in the U.S. Senate election win their respective elections in the November 3, 2026 Texas general elections for Railroad Commissioner and U.S. Senate, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $23.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & Ken Paxton?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Texas combo: Bo French & James Talarico?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $7.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Texas combo: Bo French & Ken Paxton?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Volume$23.82K

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHIOther

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico?

If ALL of Jon Rosenthal in the Texas Railroad Commissioner election and James Talarico in the U.S. Senate election win their respective elections in the November 3, 2026 Texas general elections for Railroad Commissioner and U.S. Senate, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market i

KALSHI

Texas combo: Bo French & Ken Paxton?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHIOther

Texas combo: Bo French & Ken Paxton?

If ALL of Bo French in the Texas Railroad Commissioner election and Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate election win their respective elections in the November 3, 2026 Texas general elections for Railroad Commissioner and U.S. Senate, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligib

KALSHI

Texas combo: Bo French & James Talarico?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHIOther

Texas combo: Bo French & James Talarico?

If ALL of Bo French in the Texas Railroad Commissioner election and James Talarico in the U.S. Senate election win their respective elections in the November 3, 2026 Texas general elections for Railroad Commissioner and U.S. Senate, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is el

KALSHI

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & Ken Paxton?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHIOther

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & Ken Paxton?

If ALL of Jon Rosenthal in the Texas Railroad Commissioner election and Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate election win their respective elections in the November 3, 2026 Texas general elections for Railroad Commissioner and U.S. Senate, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is el

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27¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/kwZwAS" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo"></iframe>

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Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

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Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico?

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Events (1)

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Markets (4)

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico?

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico?

Texas combo: Bo French & Ken Paxton?

Texas combo: Bo French & Ken Paxton?

Texas combo: Bo French & James Talarico?

Texas combo: Bo French & James Talarico?

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & Ken Paxton?

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & Ken Paxton?

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Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico?

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico?

Texas combo: Bo French & Ken Paxton?

Texas combo: Bo French & Ken Paxton?

Texas combo: Bo French & James Talarico?

Texas combo: Bo French & James Talarico?

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & Ken Paxton?

Texas combo: Jon Rosenthal & Ken Paxton?

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