Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
Total Volume
$48.78
Events
1
Markets
1
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $48.78
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $48.78
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 34% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
34%
Top Probability
$48.78
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This event is for the CBB game between Toledo Rockets and Kent State Golden Flashes on January 17 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets are pricing in a narrow advantage for the Kent State Golden Flashes. The leading market, "Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-4.5)," is trading at 52%. This indicates the market sees a 52% probability that Kent State will win by 5 or more points, and a 48% probability that Toledo will either win outright or lose by 4 or fewer points. A 52% chance suggests the market views covering the 4.5-point spread as slightly more likely than not, but the outcome is essentially seen as a coin flip given the thin trading volume of just $4,000.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The pricing reflects two primary factors. First, Kent State holds home-court advantage for this Mid-American Conference (MAC) matchup, a significant edge in college basketball. Second, the market is likely weighing recent team performance and historical competitiveness within the conference. Kent State has traditionally been a strong program in the MAC, and even in a down year, their home floor provides a boost. The tight spread indicates the market respects Toledo's capability as a conference contender, preventing the odds from shifting more decisively toward Kent State.
What Could Change These Odds
The primary catalyst is the game itself, tipping off at 6:30 PM ET on January 16. Key in-game factors like early three-point shooting, rebounding margins, and foul trouble for either team's key players could quickly validate or invalidate the slim market consensus. Given the low liquidity, a surge of informed betting closer to game time based on final injury reports or sharp line movement in traditional sportsbooks could also cause a more decisive shift in the prediction market odds. The current pricing is highly susceptible to new information.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.