$216.00
1
6
$216.00
1
6
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 6 at 10:00PM ET: If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal w
Prediction markets currently see the total goals scored in the Chicago Blackhawks vs. San Jose Sharks game as essentially a coin flip. The market for "Over/Under 5.5 total goals" shows a 52% probability for the "Over." This means traders collectively believe there is a slightly better than even chance—roughly 1 in 2—that the teams will combine for 6 or more goals. It’s a very close call, indicating low confidence in either a high-scoring or defensive game.
Two main factors explain these nearly even odds. First, both teams are near the bottom of the NHL standings. Games between struggling teams can be unpredictable; sometimes they become loose, high-scoring affairs due to poor defensive play, while other times a lack of offensive firepower keeps scores low.
Second, the specific teams involved matter. The San Jose Sharks have allowed the most goals in the league this season by a significant margin, which typically pushes predictions toward the "Over." However, the Chicago Blackhawks are also one of the lowest-scoring teams overall. The market is balancing the Sharks' terrible defense against the Blackhawks' weak offense, resulting in a toss-up.
The key event is the game itself on April 6 at 10:00 PM ET. Watch for the starting goaltenders, announced a few hours before puck drop. A hot goalie getting the nod could shift expectations toward a lower score. Also, monitor the health of each team's top scorers in the days leading up to the game. Any last-minute injuries to key offensive players would make the "Under" more likely.
Prediction markets on NHL totals are generally decent but not perfect. They efficiently combine public betting odds with the views of informed traders. For a game like this between two non-playoff teams, the market has less data and attention to work with compared to a marquee matchup, which can make forecasts slightly less reliable. The very close 52-48 split here honestly reflects how difficult this particular game is to call.
Prediction markets assign a 52% probability to the total goals in the Chicago Blackhawks vs. San Jose Sharks game exceeding 5.5. This is a nearly even split, indicating the market sees the outcome as a coin flip. With only $0 in volume reported across six related markets, this is a speculative, illiquid market with minimal real money backing the current price. The thin liquidity means the 52% probability is a weak signal, easily swayed by a single small bet.
The near-even odds reflect the terrible defensive profiles of both teams. During the 2023-24 season, the Sharks allowed a league-worst 4.01 goals against per game, while the Blackhawks ranked 31st at 3.67. Historically, matchups between the league's worst defensive clubs often produce high-scoring games due to systemic breakdowns and poor goaltending. However, both teams also rank at the bottom in goals scored per game, which tempers expectations for a true offensive explosion. The market is essentially weighing terrible defense against anemic offense.
Player absences or confirmations will be the primary catalyst. An injury to a key defensive player or starting goaltender for either side would likely push the "Over" probability higher. Conversely, if both teams confirm their top offensive players as healthy scratches for rest or management reasons, the odds would shift toward the "Under." The market's extreme illiquidity means any actual betting activity in the days leading up to the April 6 puck drop will cause significant price volatility. The current 52% is a placeholder, not a firm forecast.
This market is trading on Polymarket only. The absence of a comparable market on a platform like Kalshi is typical for niche sports derivatives and eliminates any opportunity for cross-platform arbitrage analysis. The entire price discovery mechanism is contained within this single, low-liquidity Polymarket contract.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market focuses on the outcome of a regular season National Hockey League game between the Chicago Blackhawks and the San Jose Sharks, scheduled for April 6. The market will resolve based on the official game result, including any overtime or shootout. This specific late-season matchup is notable because both teams are in a rebuilding phase, having finished near the bottom of the NHL standings in recent years. The game is part of the final stretch of the 2023-24 NHL regular season, a period where teams out of playoff contention often evaluate young talent for the future. Interest in this market stems from several factors. Bettors and fans analyze the performance of top draft picks like Connor Bedard, who plays for Chicago. The game also represents a rare inter-conference meeting, as the Blackhawks are in the Western Conference's Central Division and the Sharks are in the Pacific Division. These teams only face each other twice per season under the current NHL schedule. The timing of the game, late in the season, can influence team strategies regarding player rest and lineup decisions, adding uncertainty to the outcome.
The Chicago Blackhawks and San Jose Sharks have been NHL franchises since 1926 and 1991, respectively. Their competitive histories diverged significantly in the 2010s. The Blackhawks won Stanley Cups in 2010, 2013, and 2015, establishing a modern dynasty led by Kane, Toews, and Duncan Keith. During that same period, the Sharks were consistent playoff contenders, reaching the Stanley Cup Final in 2016 but failing to win a championship. Both franchises entered pronounced rebuilding phases around the same time. Chicago's decline began after their 2015 championship, culminating in a full-scale rebuild announced in 2022 following the trades of key veterans. San Jose's window closed after their 2019 Western Conference Final appearance, leading to a similar rebuild under Grier. Their recent head-to-head record reflects this parity. In the 2022-23 season, the teams split their two-game series, with each winning on home ice. The last time either team was a serious playoff contender when facing the other was during the 2018-19 season.
For the franchises, the game's outcome has tangible implications for draft lottery odds. The NHL uses a reverse-standings system to determine draft order for non-playoff teams, meaning a loss improves a team's chances of securing a higher pick. In a rebuild, acquiring elite young talent through the draft is the primary pathway back to contention. This creates a complex dynamic where organizational priorities for future success can appear at odds with the immediate goal of winning a game. For the league and its partners, games between struggling teams test fan engagement and television viewership late in the season. The performance of marketable young stars like Bedard is critical for maintaining interest. For prediction markets and sportsbooks, these matchups involve assessing motivation and lineup uncertainty, as teams may rest veterans or experiment with systems, making the outcome less predictable than traditional power rankings would suggest.
As of late March 2024, both teams are mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. The Chicago Blackhawks have been without Connor Bedard since early January due to his jaw injury. His potential return to the lineup before the end of the season, possibly for games like this one, remains a subject of speculation and would significantly alter the team's competitiveness. The San Jose Sharks continue to have the NHL's lowest point total. Both teams have been actively recalling players from their American Hockey League affiliates, such as the Rockford IceHogs and San Jose Barracuda, to give prospects NHL experience. The specific starting goaltenders and lineup configurations for the April 6 game are typically announced closer to game day.
The game is scheduled to be played at the SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, California. This gives the San Jose Sharks the home-ice advantage for this matchup.
National broadcast information is typically confirmed a week in advance. The game is likely to be broadcast on regional sports networks NBC Sports Chicago and NBC Sports California, with potential streaming options on ESPN+ or NHL.TV for out-of-market viewers.
Sportsbook odds for this late-season game between two struggling teams are often close. The favorite can shift based on injury reports, particularly the status of Connor Bedard, and which team is playing at home. The Sharks will have home-ice advantage for this contest.
The all-time regular season series is relatively even. Historically, the Blackhawks hold a slight edge in wins. In their most recent meetings during the 2022-23 season, each team won one game.
No, they are in different divisions within the NHL's Western Conference. The Chicago Blackhawks play in the Central Division, while the San Jose Sharks play in the Pacific Division. They face each other twice per regular season.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
6 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 48% |
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