Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the Hyperliquid price over a five-minute window, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should therefore not assume that exchange spot prices or other data feeds will settle this contract.
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T08:20:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time as listed by the provider. It is not evidence of when the contract was resolved, and the supplied evidence does not show a resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The saved price snapshot was observed at 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z and retrieved by PredictPedia at 2026-10-27T09:41:08.271Z [1]. These are two different times, and the prices describe the provider's observation, not a live quote. The contract status was recorded as active [1].
The quoted prices were "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one observation. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. Volume and the number of traders are not included in the supplied evidence, so the snapshot cannot show how liquid the market was or how many participants it had.
The coverage record shows one market in this provider event, and it was fully included [1]. Because there is only one contract here, there is no comparison with other platforms or other contract wordings in this snapshot.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices were at these levels, and this summary does not offer a reason. It also does not show any news, recent movement, or historical accuracy for this kind of contract. The title's time window is set in ET, while the listed end time is given in UTC, so readers should check the window against the title and the rules when comparing them.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto price contract on Polymarket that asks whether the price of Hyperliquid's HYPE/USD asset will finish a five-minute window higher or lower than where it started. The title, "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET", names the window. The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-28T08:20:00.000Z [1]. The provider's record shows the market as active when it was observed [1]. The contract has two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. Under the rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of the asset over the specified time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The design means a tie counts as "Up", and the comparison is between an average taken across the window and the starting price, not between the starting and ending prices alone [1]. The resolution source is named in the rules as information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream and not according to any other source or spot market [1]. Traders who look at a different exchange or price feed for the same asset may therefore be looking at a figure the contract does not use.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of a short-term price move in HYPE/USD as recorded by one specified data stream. Because it uses a time-weighted average over the window rather than a single closing price, the result depends on how the price behaved throughout the five minutes compared with the price at the start [1]. Its price on Polymarket reflects how participants value the two outcomes, but the price is a snapshot and not a verified probability. Because the rules tie resolution to one feed, the contract is a view on that feed's reading, which may differ from prices on other venues [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the contract ask?
It asks whether the TWAP of Hyperliquid over the time range in the title will be greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. If it is, the market resolves to "Up". If not, it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source determines the result?
The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, with a 60-second interval named in the source link [1]. The rules say other sources and spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
Is the window the same as the ending time?
The title gives the window as 4:15AM to 4:20AM ET on October 28, and the listed end time is 2026-10-28T08:20:00.000Z [1].
What was the market status in the provider record?
When the provider record was observed, the provider status was listed as active [1]. This describes that observation only.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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