Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Total Volume

$165.62K

Events

Markets

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When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Vol

$165.62K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $165.62K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $165.62K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	4%
Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

10%

Top Probability

$165.62K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Astra 6.1 If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct X 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Astra 6.1

If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct X 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $165.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 6, 2026): Vol $40.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $28.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 23, 2026): Vol $22.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 20, 2026): Vol $41.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 13, 2026): Vol $32.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Volume$165.62K

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?

If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event

KALSHI

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?

If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event o

KALSHI

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?

If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event

KALSHI

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026?

If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event

KALSHI

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026?

If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event

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6¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/lBozSU" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?"></iframe>

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When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

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Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Markets (5)

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026?

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Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 13, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Nov 6, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026?

Will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026?

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