Trump approval Up or Down this week? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Name: Trump approval Up or Down this week?
End: 2026-04-18T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.64K

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Markets

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Trump approval Up or Down this week?

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Polymarket

markets · $4.64K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.64K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Poly	81%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

81%

Top Probability

$4.64K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Trump approval Up or Down this week?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.

This market will resolve"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $805
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.77)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Trump approval Up or Down this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Up: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [Down: 19.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

6h 49mremaining

Apr 18, 2026 12:00 AM

Ending Soon

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

81¢

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Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

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Trump approval Up or Down this week?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)