GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Name: Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
End: 2026-10-03T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$14.38K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Vol

$14.38K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $14.38K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.38K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	53%
Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	26%
Will AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	17%
Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	6%
Will ST! come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	2%
Will NA come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	2%
Will JV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	1%
Will ASL come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	1%
Will MMN come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	1%
Will ZZS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	1%
Will GS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will JKP come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will LA come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will SC come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$14.38K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 3, 2026 (29 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.

The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.

The named parties"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $114.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will MMN come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $530
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will SC come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $577
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will ZZS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $742
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will NA come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $685
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will GS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $630
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will JV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $638
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will JKP come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $644
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will LA come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $837
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will ASL come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $749
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will ST! come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $894
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 3, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics