Name: Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol
End: 2026-02-04T20:00:00.000Z

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Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?	Poly	37%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-04?	Poly	33%
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Poly	32%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 4, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Wednesday, February 4, 2026 between Deportivo Alavés and Real Sociedad de Fútbol.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 4, 2026
If Deportivo Alavés wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up g"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $30.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $392.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.08)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-04?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 4, 2026): Vol $8.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 4, 2026): Vol $177
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 4, 2026): Vol $22.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

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Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Markets (3)

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-04?

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-04?

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

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Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-04?

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-04?

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

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