GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

S&P price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

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S&P price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

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30 markets tracked

Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

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Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	22%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7525 and 7549.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	19%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7500 and 7524.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	18%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	14%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7575 and 7599.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	13%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7624.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	12%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7625 and 7649.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	11%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7325 and 7349.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	10%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7750 and 7774.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	10%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7450 and 7474.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	9%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7425 and 7449.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	9%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7650 and 7674.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	8%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7275 and 7299.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	8%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7725 and 7749.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	7%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7350 and 7374.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	7%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7700 and 7724.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	6%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7675 and 7699.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	6%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7375 and 7399.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	6%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7250 and 7274.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	6%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7475 and 7499.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	6%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7424.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	6%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7775 and 7799.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7300 and 7324.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	5%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7824.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	5%
Will the S&P 500 be below 7125 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	1%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7225 and 7249.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	1%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7200 and 7224.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	1%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7175 and 7199.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	1%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7150 and 7174.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	1%
Will the S&P 500 be between 7125 and 7149.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

On Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on July 10, 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on July 10, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 10, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** S&P price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on July 10, 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on July 10, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 10, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on July 10, 2026 is above 7824.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close on July 10, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 10, 2026.

Pursuant to the Kalshi Ruleboo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the S&P 500 be below 7125 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7824.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the S&P 500 be between 7775 and 7799.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the S&P 500 be between 7750 and 7774.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the S&P 500 be between 7725 and 7749.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the S&P 500 be between 7700 and 7724.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the S&P 500 be between 7675 and 7699.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the S&P 500 be between 7650 and 7674.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the S&P 500 be between 7625 and 7649.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7624.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the S&P 500 be between 7575 and 7599.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the S&P 500 be between 7525 and 7549.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the S&P 500 be between 7500 and 7524.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the S&P 500 be between 7475 and 7499.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the S&P 500 be between 7450 and 7474.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the S&P 500 be between 7425 and 7449.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7424.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the S&P 500 be between 7375 and 7399.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the S&P 500 be between 7350 and 7374.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the S&P 500 be between 7325 and 7349.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the S&P 500 be between 7300 and 7324.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the S&P 500 be between 7275 and 7299.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the S&P 500 be between 7250 and 7274.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the S&P 500 be between 7225 and 7249.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the S&P 500 be between 7200 and 7224.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will the S&P 500 be between 7175 and 7199.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will the S&P 500 be between 7150 and 7174.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will the S&P 500 be between 7125 and 7149.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

S&P price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Volume$0.00

Markets30

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KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on July 10, 2026 is between 7550-7574.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close on July 10, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 10, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be between 7525 and 7549.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the S&P 500 be between 7525 and 7549.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on July 10, 2026 is between 7525-7549.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close on July 10, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 10, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be between 7500 and 7524.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.0¢No 82.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the S&P 500 be between 7500 and 7524.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on July 10, 2026 is between 7500-7524.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close on July 10, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 10, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on July 10, 2026 is above 7824.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close on July 10, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 10, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Ruleboo

KALSHI

Will the S&P 500 be between 7575 and 7599.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

CLOSING SOON

Will the S&P 500 be between 7575 and 7599.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on July 10, 2026 is between 7575-7599.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will close on July 10, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after July 10, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/lNylBI" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="S&P price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?"></iframe>

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S&P price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

S&P price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

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Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

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Events (1)

S&P price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Markets (30)

Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7525 and 7549.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7525 and 7549.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7500 and 7524.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7500 and 7524.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7575 and 7599.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7575 and 7599.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

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Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

S&P price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7525 and 7549.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7525 and 7549.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7500 and 7524.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7500 and 7524.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7575 and 7599.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Will the S&P 500 be between 7575 and 7599.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

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