Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

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$37.35K

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How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

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$37.35K

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markets · $0.00

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markets · $37.35K

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0.0%avg

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Volume DistributionTotal: $37.35K

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18 markets tracked

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 8 in Oct 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 8 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 6 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 10 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 13 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 12 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	99%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 14 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	98%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 15 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	97%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 16 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	97%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 17 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 18 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	93%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 19 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	84%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 20 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	80%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 21 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	79%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 22 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	64%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 23 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	57%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 24 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	32%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 25 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	15%
Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 26 in Oct 2026?	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

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100%

Top Probability

$37.35K

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About This Event

in Oct 2026 If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited, per VISITAREA rules, is at least X in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. VISITAREA contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contractterms/VISITAREA.pdf The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** in Oct 2026

If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited, per VISITAREA rules, is at least X in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. VISITAREA contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contractterms/VISITAREA.pdf The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) is at least 26 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: VISITAREA contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contractterms/VISITAREA.pdf

The following do NOT constitute a visit:

Flyi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $37.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 26 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 25 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 24 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 23 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 22 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 21 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 19 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $843
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 17 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 15 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $105
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 13 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 8 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 6 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 20 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 18 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 16 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $915
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 14 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 12 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 10 in Oct 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 30, 2027): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

Volume$37.35K

Markets18

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KALSHI

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 8 in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 8 in Oct 2026?

If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) is at least 8 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: VISITAREA contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contractterms/VISITAREA.pdf The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flyin

KALSHI

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 6 in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 6 in Oct 2026?

If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) is at least 6 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: VISITAREA contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contractterms/VISITAREA.pdf The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flyin

KALSHI

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 10 in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 10 in Oct 2026?

If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) is at least 10 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: VISITAREA contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contractterms/VISITAREA.pdf The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flyi

KALSHI

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 13 in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 13 in Oct 2026?

If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) is at least 13 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: VISITAREA contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contractterms/VISITAREA.pdf The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flyi

KALSHI

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 12 in Oct 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 12 in Oct 2026?

If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) is at least 12 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: VISITAREA contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contractterms/VISITAREA.pdf The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flyi

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How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

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Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 8 in Oct 2026?

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Events (1)

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

Markets (18)

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 8 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 8 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 6 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 6 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 10 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 10 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 13 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 13 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 12 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 12 in Oct 2026?

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Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 8 in Oct 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 8 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 8 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 6 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 6 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 10 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 10 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 13 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 13 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 12 in Oct 2026?

Will the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) be at least 12 in Oct 2026?

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