GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?

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How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?

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8 markets tracked

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 11)

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 11)	Kalshi	97%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 12)	Kalshi	96%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 13)	Kalshi	95%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 14)	Kalshi	92%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 15)	Kalshi	64%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 16)	Kalshi	36%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 17)	Kalshi	23%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 18)	Kalshi	13%

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97%

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About This Event

in Jul 2026 If all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have Above X launches in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** in Jul 2026

If all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have Above X launches in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have Above 18 launches in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 18)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 17)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 16)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 15)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 14)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 13)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 12)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 11)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?

in Jul 2026 If all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have Above X launches in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$0.00

Markets8

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KALSHI

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 11)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 11)

If all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have Above 11 launches in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 12)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 12)

If all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have Above 12 launches in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 13)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 13)

If all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have Above 13 launches in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 14)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 14)

If all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have Above 14 launches in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 15)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.0¢No 36.0¢

KALSHITech

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 15)

If all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have Above 15 launches in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/lW4byO" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?"></iframe>

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How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?

How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?

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How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 11)

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?

Markets (8)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 11)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 11)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 12)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 12)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 13)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 13)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 14)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 14)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 15)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 15)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 11)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 11)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 11)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 12)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 12)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 13)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 13)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 14)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 14)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 15)

How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial launch providers cumulatively have in Jul 2026? (Above 15)

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