Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. California-San Diego Tritons (W)
Total Volume
$0.00
Events
1
Markets
1
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. California-San Diego Tritons (W)
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $0.00
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. California-San Diego Tritons (W)
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 51% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
51%
Top Probability
$0.00
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This event is for the WBB game between Bakersfield Roadrunners and California-San Diego Tritons on January 17 at 7:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets are pricing in a decisive victory for the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos women's basketball team. On Polymarket, shares for "UCSB Gauchos" to win are trading at approximately 90 cents, implying the market assigns a 90% probability to this outcome. Conversely, shares for "Bakersfield Roadrunners" are trading near 10 cents, indicating just a 10% win probability. A 90% chance suggests the market views a Gauchos victory as very likely, though not a complete certainty given the inherent unpredictability of sports.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The overwhelming odds are driven by the stark contrast in team performance this season. The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos entered this contest with a strong 12-3 overall record, positioning them as one of the top teams in the Big West conference. In contrast, the Bakersfield Roadrunners have struggled, holding a 7-8 record. Historically, UCSB has also dominated this matchup, winning the last several meetings by significant margins. The market is effectively pricing in the combination of UCSB's superior win-loss record, conference standing, and recent dominance over Bakersfield.
What Could Change These Odds
In a market with such lopsided pricing, the primary factor that could shift the odds would be a major, last-minute personnel change, such as a key UCSB player being ruled out due to injury or illness. However, with the game scheduled for January 15 at 9:00 PM ET and resolution imminent, the window for new information to move the market is extremely narrow. The thin trading volume noted in the market data also means the current prices are less resilient and could, in theory, be more volatile if new money entered with a contrarian view, though this is unlikely given the clear fundamentals.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.