Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls: Map 1

Total Volume

$5.22K

Events

Markets

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Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls: Map 1

Vol

$5.22K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $5.22K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.22K

100%

Kalshi leads

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2 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Dawn Bulls wins map 1

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Dawn Bulls wins map 1	Kalshi	85%
Kalmychata wins map 1	Kalshi	15%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

85%

Top Probability

$5.22K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Map 1: KALMY vs. DAW (Oct 12) If X wins map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT If the relevant match or map is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will re

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls: Map 1
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Map 1: KALMY vs. DAW (Oct 12)

If X wins map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT If the relevant match or map is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will re

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Kalmychata wins map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls Dot"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Kalmychata wins map 1
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Dawn Bulls wins map 1
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls: Map 1

Volume$5.22K

Markets2

2 of 2

Sort:

KALSHI

Dawn Bulls wins map 1

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Dawn Bulls wins map 1

If Dawn Bulls wins map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls Dot

KALSHI

Kalmychata wins map 1

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Kalmychata wins map 1

If Kalmychata wins map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to map 1 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls Dot

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/laC8N4" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls: Map 1"></iframe>

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Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls: Map 1

Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls: Map 1

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Dawn Bulls wins map 1

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Events (1)

Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls: Map 1

Markets (2)

Dawn Bulls wins map 1

Dawn Bulls wins map 1

Kalmychata wins map 1

Kalmychata wins map 1

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Dawn Bulls wins map 1

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Kalmychata vs. Dawn Bulls: Map 1

Dawn Bulls wins map 1

Dawn Bulls wins map 1

Kalmychata wins map 1

Kalmychata wins map 1

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